Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nick Pappas win the 2026 Denton County Judge election? | No | 69.75 | $0.600 | $64.52 | +$22.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 74.4 | $0.991 | $73.74 | 16d ago |
|
| No |
| 69.75 |
| $0.600 |
| $63.82 |
| +$21.97 |
| Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 69.75 | $0.600 | $62.32 | +$20.47 |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30? | No | 58.59 | $0.600 | $56.6 | +$21.44 |
 Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0? | No | 56.02 | $0.570 | $55.4 | +$23.47 |
| Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 54.73 | $0.600 | $53.25 | +$20.41 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.28 | $0.560 | $44.1 | +$18.75 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Yes | 51.99 | $0.709 | $42.37 | +$5.53 |
 Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? | No | 35.15 | $0.600 | $35.13 | +$14.04 |
| Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 31.95 | $0.600 | $31.93 | +$12.76 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 53 | $0.650 | $31.54 | -$2.91 |
 Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 24.82 | $0.580 | $23.94 | +$9.54 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 25 | $0.610 | $23.26 | +$8.01 |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | No | 25 | $0.570 | $22.28 | +$8.03 |
 Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | No | 22.64 | $0.700 | $22.24 | +$6.4 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | No | 24.09 | $0.600 | $21.79 | +$7.34 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 20 | $0.580 | $19.3 | +$7.7 |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 20 | $0.550 | $18.98 | +$7.98 |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | No | 52.9 | $0.570 | $18.07 | -$12.09 |
 Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | No | 24.39 | $0.590 | $14.88 | +$0.49 |
 Will Poland win Junior Eurovision 2026? | No | 10.66 | $0.660 | $8.95 | +$1.92 |
 Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election? | Yes | 25 | $0.050 | $3.21 | +$1.96 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 5 | $0.420 | $0.02 | -$2.08 |
 Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| sell |
| 35.15 |
| $0.963 |
| $33.84 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will no cause of the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion be announced by December 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.970 | $24.26 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 15.1 | $0.943 | $14.24 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Luke List finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | sell | 100 | $0.961 | $96.07 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | sell | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?No | sell | 12.24 | $0.996 | $12.19 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Paul Waring finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.540 | $7.63 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Paul Waring finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.530 | $42.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Richie Ramsay finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Tyler Duncan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Luke List finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 100 | $0.518 | $51.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | sell | 13.48 | $0.910 | $12.27 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Ugo Coussaud finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Zach Bauchou finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Campillo finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Max McGreevy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 166.4 | $0.545 | $90.72 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin James finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Max McGreevy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Yu finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Campillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Adam Svensson finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No | buy | 212.73 | $0.990 | $210.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 77 | $0.890 | $68.53 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Cameron Flukey be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?No | sell | 80.3 | $0.974 | $78.22 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 40.1 | $0.665 | $26.67 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.665 | $53.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.640 | $51.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?No | sell | 13.55 | $0.110 | $1.49 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?No | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?No | sell | 69.75 | $0.976 | $68.06 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in June?No | sell | 28 | $0.981 | $27.48 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the longest game at EWC Dota 2 2026 last under 80 minutes?No | buy | 46.87 | $0.580 | $27.18 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the longest game at EWC Dota 2 2026 last 111 or more minutes?No | buy | 56.91 | $0.580 | $33.01 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?No | buy | 24.56 | $0.610 | $14.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?No | buy | 58.59 | $0.600 | $35.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?No | buy | 62.85 | $0.600 | $37.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $320,000 on September 30?No | buy | 50.22 | $0.600 | $30.13 | Jul 2, 2026 |