Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.210 | $5.4 | -$3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.110 | $5.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50.51 |
| $0.099 |
| $0.93 |
| -$4.07 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $0.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 10 | $0.350 | $0.03 | -$3.48 |
| sell |
| 14.2 |
| $0.840 |
| $11.93 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.985 | $17.73 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 18.8 | $0.266 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.099 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes | buy | 23.4 | $0.200 | $4.68 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | sell | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.308 | $1.54 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 25 | $0.042 | $1.05 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.04 | $0.610 | $2.46 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.050 | $0.75 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | sell | 17.87 | $0.998 | $17.83 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.270 | $2.04 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Jan 21, 2026 |