Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 6?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.992 | $1.07 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.47 |
| $0.997 |
| $3.46 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.670 | $1.01 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.999 | $4.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.997 | $5.53 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.998 | $6.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.995 | $6.62 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.997 | $7.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 4?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.994 | $4.9 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Miami Marlins vs. AthleticsMiami Marlins | buy | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 4?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on July 5?No | sell | 9.73 | $0.996 | $9.69 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on July 5?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.999 | $10.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.996 | $6.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.833 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.996 | $6.97 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.950 | $1.04 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No | sell | 11.16 | $0.998 | $11.14 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.999 | $12.2 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.973 | $1.04 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.980 | $1.03 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.998 | $2.14 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.999 | $3.2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.996 | $3.24 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.999 | $4.33 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.979 | $1.05 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 5.34 | $0.997 | $5.32 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.998 | $6.4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?No | sell | 7.43 | $0.998 | $7.42 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.999 | $8.5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?No | sell | 9.56 | $0.998 | $9.54 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.999 | $10.6 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Leslie Bory win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?No | sell | 6.3 | $0.996 | $6.27 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Leslie Bory win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.999 | $7.36 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.960 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.998 | $5.22 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.999 | $6.36 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be at least 10%?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.998 | $1.07 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.997 | $1.07 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.999 | $2.15 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.997 | $2.15 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.998 | $3.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |