Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 11?Yes | sell | 67.44 | $0.991 | $66.82 | Jul 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 67.45 |
| $0.960 |
| $64.75 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | sell | 65.99 | $0.981 | $64.75 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Iran | buy | 110.31 | $0.360 | $39.71 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 75.47 | $0.530 | $40 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | sell | 92.68 | $0.860 | $79.7 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.39 | $0.890 | $50.19 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | sell | 51.17 | $0.981 | $50.2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.98 | $0.890 | $18.67 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on July 10?No | buy | 63.51 | $0.945 | $60 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | sell | 84.59 | $0.930 | $78.67 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 39.83 | $0.924 | $36.8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 42.79 | $0.860 | $36.8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | sell | 65.93 | $0.900 | $59.34 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 65.93 | $0.910 | $60 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | sell | 79 | $0.940 | $74.26 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 79 | $0.880 | $69.52 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | buy | 154.5 | $0.400 | $61.8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?No | sell | 62.04 | $0.996 | $61.79 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 51.18 | $0.960 | $49.13 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | buy | 66 | $0.909 | $60 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?No | buy | 62.05 | $0.967 | $60 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 188.56 | $0.897 | $169.13 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 92.69 | $0.830 | $76.93 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 82.19 | $0.730 | $60 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?No | sell | 56.6 | $0.995 | $56.32 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 15.33 | $0.929 | $14.24 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | sell | 71.2 | $0.200 | $14.24 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?No | buy | 56.61 | $0.940 | $53.21 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 4?Yes | sell | 53.93 | $0.987 | $53.21 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 71.2 | $0.850 | $60.52 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.623 | $59.8 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes | sell | 47.64 | $0.996 | $47.45 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes?No | sell | 59.36 | $0.998 | $59.24 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes | sell | 73.7 | $0.999 | $73.63 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 4?Yes | buy | 53.93 | $0.890 | $48 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Karen Bass recall election called before September?No | sell | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes | buy | 73.7 | $0.800 | $58.96 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?Yes | sell | 63.57 | $0.211 | $13.39 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 31?Yes | sell | 46.33 | $0.984 | $45.57 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 31?Yes | buy | 46.33 | $0.951 | $44.06 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 47.37 | $0.930 | $44.05 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes | buy | 47.64 | $0.920 | $43.83 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | sell | 49.25 | $0.890 | $43.83 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?Yes | buy | 63.57 | $0.210 | $13.35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 84.59 | $0.790 | $66.83 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 47.37 | $0.950 | $45 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?Yes | buy | 69.62 | $0.790 | $55 | Jul 3, 2025 |