Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100.25 | $0.199 | $20.55 | +$0.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 16h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 91.1 |
| $0.220 |
| $18.67 |
| -$1.32 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 87.67 | $0.228 | $15.39 | -$4.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 97.62 | $0.205 | $15.13 | -$4.87 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 83.33 | $0.240 | $8.75 | -$11.25 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 47.62 | $0.210 | $6.9 | -$3.1 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 207.26 | $0.096 | $5.29 | -$14.71 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.018 | $3.79 | -$16.21 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $1.88 | -$8.13 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 376.2 | $0.053 | $1.69 | -$18.31 |
| buy |
| 47.62 |
| $0.210 |
| $10 |
| 17h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 17h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 17h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 43.42 | $0.230 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 173.77 | $0.058 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 202.43 | $0.049 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 44.25 | $0.226 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 50.24 | $0.199 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 43.95 | $0.228 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.233 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.238 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.007 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 84.17 | $0.119 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.52 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 60.66 | $0.165 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.29 | $0.140 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |