Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.080 | $89.12 | May 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.95K |
| $0.051 |
| $149.35 |
| May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2025?Yes | buy | 447.66 | $0.153 | $68.54 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.489 | $244.39 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will new pope be 70+ years old?No | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 180.1 | $0.376 | $67.64 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.060 | $187.94 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will X remove Community Notes before April?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.070 | $110.13 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Ye divorce before April?Yes | buy | 618.3 | $0.069 | $42.66 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?Yes | buy | 771.51 | $0.080 | $61.72 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue AOC before March?Yes | buy | 256.63 | $0.123 | $31.6 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.221 | $593.63 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.370 | $5.46 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?No | buy | 186.71 | $0.353 | $65.95 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15.1K | $0.016 | $241.5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 5.77K | $0.070 | $402.61 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.580 | $88.74 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?Yes | buy | 288.38 | $0.139 | $40 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Ian Nepomnichtchi win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.039 | $19.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in 2024?No | buy | 375.63 | $0.278 | $104.3 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.330 | $165 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 House passes funding bill by midnight?No | buy | 296 | $0.228 | $67.44 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?No | buy | 500 | $0.588 | $293.81 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Ian Nepomnichtchi win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 241.88 | $0.640 | $154.8 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 2K | $0.550 | $1.1K | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will AOC lead House oversight committee?Yes | sell | 404 | $0.259 | $104.66 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will AOC lead House oversight committee?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.460 | $93.84 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | sell | 920 | $0.300 | $276 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.119 | $50.07 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will AOC lead House oversight committee?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.395 | $78.9 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.680 | $214.2 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 $MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?No | buy | 1K | $0.243 | $243.36 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 RFK's daughter-in-law picked as CIA deputy director?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.345 | $69 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.270 | $59.4 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?Yes | buy | 312.64 | $0.260 | $81.29 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?No | buy | 159 | $0.370 | $58.83 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Game 13 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.350 | $1.66 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing | sell | 500 | $0.490 | $245 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 525.07 | $0.400 | $210.03 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?No | buy | 410.54 | $0.200 | $82.11 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 608 | $0.485 | $295.02 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 666 | $0.050 | $33.26 | Dec 10, 2024 |