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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.28 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.07 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.011 | $0.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.004 | $0.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.060 | $0.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.140 | $0.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.158 | $0.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.032 | $1.18 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.029 | $1.12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.234 | $1.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.195 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.160 | $1.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.054 | $1.1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.170 | $1.13 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.230 | $1.09 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.026 | $1.13 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.191 | $1.33 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.750 | $3.57 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.140 | $1.75 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.326 | $1.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.144 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.006 | $1.07 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.135 | $1.08 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |