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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.044 | $200 | Feb 23, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 39.23K |
| $0.122 |
| $4.8K |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 26.67K | $0.190 | $5.07K | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.42K | $0.410 | $5.5K | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 10.42K | $0.070 | $730.66 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.410 | $2.46K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 198.61 | $0.053 | $10.53 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.034 | $40.34 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.015 | $0.18 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 756.95 | $0.410 | $310.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 67.83 | $0.050 | $3.39 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 223.85 | $0.049 | $10.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.095 | $143.26 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?Yes | buy | 91.62 | $0.170 | $15.58 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.109 | $245.24 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 57.74 | $0.014 | $0.81 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.020 | $23.63 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 869.42 | $0.012 | $10.8 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.061 | $135.73 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 527.06 | $0.091 | $47.88 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.040 | $50.25 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.038 | $171.08 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 68.57 | $0.019 | $1.32 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.016 | $17.35 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 67.98 | $0.014 | $0.95 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.270 | $500.72 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 322.22 | $0.270 | $87 | Jun 2, 2025 |