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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 208.14 | $0.470 | $99.91 | +$2.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 208.14 | $0.470 | $97.83 | 19h ago |
 |
| sell |
| 199.97 |
| $0.540 |
| $107.98 |
| 28d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.961 | $96.1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.55 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.835 | $33.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 55.91 | $0.836 | $46.74 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.250 | $125 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 196.27 | $0.995 | $195.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.320 | $11.84 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | sell | 113.87 | $0.060 | $6.83 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.205 | $20.5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 149.27 | $0.630 | $94.04 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.842 | $8.42 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.840 | $100.8 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 43.5 | $0.839 | $36.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.999 | $209.79 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 40.02 | $0.079 | $3.16 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 14.18K | $0.006 | $85.08 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.150 | $16.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.151 | $9.66 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 395 | $0.002 | $0.79 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 322.79 | $0.038 | $12.27 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 295.47 | $0.120 | $35.46 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 873.42 | $0.999 | $872.55 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.002 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.017 | $3.32 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes | buy | 473.42 | $0.190 | $89.95 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.929 | $4.51 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 95.14 | $0.468 | $44.57 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.689 | $68.88 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 105 | $0.650 | $68.25 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.602 | $60.2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.074 | $22.25 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | sell | 260.95 | $0.009 | $2.46 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Nov 17, 2025 |