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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 831.37 | $0.904 | $785.65 | +$33.65 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.850 | $982.5 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 546.34 |
| $0.915 |
| $529.68 |
| +$29.68 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 487.44 | $0.842 | $468.67 | +$58.37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 473.2 | $0.835 | $418.78 | +$23.88 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 429.96 | $0.889 | $406.31 | +$24.18 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 322.82 | $0.920 | $312.65 | +$15.65 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 391.27 | $0.633 | $287.58 | +$40.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 270.59 | $0.850 | $253 | +$23 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 229.89 | $0.870 | $212.64 | +$12.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 340.96 | $0.587 | $206.28 | +$6.28 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 238.25 | $0.625 | $206.09 | +$57.09 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 207.98 | $0.913 | $192.38 | +$2.38 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 178.57 | $0.840 | $154.46 | +$4.46 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 142.09 | $0.704 | $129.3 | +$29.3 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 160.56 | $0.778 | $127.64 | +$2.64 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 323.8 | $0.252 | $121.42 | +$39.99 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 120 | $0.860 | $111 | +$7.8 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 445.61 | $0.234 | $20.05 | -$84.42 |
| sell |
| 339.39 |
| $0.983 |
| $333.62 |
| 6d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 437.69 | $0.891 | $389.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 259.74 | $0.920 | $238.96 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.027 | $2.16 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 451.19 | $0.993 | $448.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 275.67 | $0.950 | $261.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200.21 | $0.590 | $118.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 192.3 | $0.510 | $98.07 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 128.57 | $0.630 | $81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 83.41 | $0.972 | $81.07 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 275.68 | $0.740 | $204 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 211.81 | $0.963 | $203.97 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 270.59 | $0.850 | $230 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200.21 | $0.709 | $142 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 274.73 | $0.910 | $250 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026?No | sell | 668.81 | $0.930 | $621.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 109.68 | $0.620 | $68 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 101.02 | $0.840 | $84.86 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 142.09 | $0.704 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 160.56 | $0.779 | $125 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US bank failure by July 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.750 | $27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.840 | $150 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 206.15 | $0.970 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 103.12 | $0.970 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 103.38 | $0.967 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.900 | $44.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.38 | $0.937 | $30.34 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.900 | $80.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | buy | 207.98 | $0.914 | $190 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 118.18 | $0.868 | $102.56 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | sell | 294.11 | $0.910 | $267.64 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 176.47 | $0.850 | $150 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 249.51 | $0.802 | $200 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 606.25 | $0.820 | $497.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 170.59 | $0.930 | $158.65 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 132.53 | $0.830 | $110 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.110 | $4.18 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 122 | $0.820 | $100.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 125.2 | $0.799 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.800 | $250 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 101.14 | $0.880 | $89 | Jun 20, 2026 |