Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?No | sell | 35.16 | $0.190 | $6.68 | Nov 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 35.17 |
| $0.427 |
| $15 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.230 | $1.07 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.210 | $2.69 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.200 | $2.5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 13 | $0.240 | $3.12 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?No | sell | 9.22 | $0.550 | $5.07 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.036 | $4.62 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 16?Up | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.430 | $5.59 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 South Park: Trump x Satan baby is male?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.040 | $0.46 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.080 | $2.2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 6.31 | $0.240 | $1.51 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 43.99 | $0.227 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 42.99 | $0.025 | $1.07 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 67.79 | $0.037 | $2.51 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 42.99 | $0.116 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.255 | $5.09 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 20.16 | $0.047 | $0.95 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| South Park: Trump x Satan baby is male?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 67.8 | $0.059 | $4 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.240 | $4.44 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 D4vd arrested by September 30?No | sell | 10.97 | $0.811 | $8.9 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.350 | $3.89 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 87.51 | $0.003 | $0.26 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 138.88 | $0.024 | $3.29 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| D4vd arrested by September 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.281 | $7.03 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| D4vd arrested by September 30?No | buy | 35.97 | $0.139 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $3.10 and $3.20 on September 19?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.010 | $0.75 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.089 | $5.34 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.023 | $4.59 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?No | sell | 51.28 | $0.035 | $1.78 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 74.62 | $0.067 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.078 | $2.12 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.52 | $0.057 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |