Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 263.22 | $0.940 | $261.51 | +$14.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 263.22 | $0.940 | $247.43 | 13d ago |
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| buy |
| 72.21 |
| $0.999 |
| $72.14 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.993 | $4.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 72.15 | $0.958 | $69.12 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 95.66 | $0.951 | $90.97 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100.54 | $0.904 | $90.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 47.59 | $0.956 | $45.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 227.76 | $0.999 | $227.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 227.59 | $0.947 | $215.53 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 125.55 | $0.998 | $125.3 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 89.92 | $0.680 | $61.15 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 190.09 | $0.320 | $60.83 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.09 | $0.660 | $125.46 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 201.06 | $0.420 | $84.45 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 201.06 | $0.920 | $184.98 | May 23, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 184.96 | $0.880 | $162.76 | May 20, 2026 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 159.85 | $0.957 | $152.98 | May 13, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 290.64 | $0.997 | $289.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 144.01 | $0.996 | $143.43 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 145.18 | $0.988 | $143.44 | Apr 14, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 286.87 | $0.997 | $286.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.47 | $0.998 | $34.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 68.83 | $0.986 | $67.87 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 19.26 | $0.985 | $18.97 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No | buy | 45 | $0.930 | $41.85 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.960 | $43.2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 48.88 | $0.962 | $47.02 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?No | buy | 46.98 | $0.995 | $46.75 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Fed rate cut by July meeting?No | buy | 46.77 | $0.978 | $45.74 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 27 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 45.73 | $0.988 | $45.18 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?No | buy | 45.17 | $0.999 | $45.12 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 23?No | buy | 37 | $0.980 | $36.26 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 22 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 44.3 | $0.920 | $40.76 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 39.76 | $0.989 | $39.32 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.184 | $0.92 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |