Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 387.5 | $0.074 | $7.17 | -$21.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $1.14 |
| +$0.14 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 28.23 |
| $0.032 |
| $0.9 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.1 | $0.004 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.1 | $0.010 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 294.85 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.090 | $0.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.315 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will "The Bad Guys 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 45.93 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will BNB dip to $100 in April?Yes | buy | 84.28 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?Yes | buy | 26.89 | $0.032 | $0.86 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?Yes | buy | 12.37 | $0.070 | $0.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 14.85 | $0.067 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 46.38 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 387.5 | $0.074 | $28.61 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.216 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.791 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?No | buy | 15.89 | $0.180 | $2.86 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.63 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 155.9 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.397 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.6 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |