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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 469.8 | $0.115 | $54.2 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 2.57K |
| $0.053 |
| $135.23 |
| 11d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.237 | $320.13 | 11d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.81K | $0.085 | $752.6 | 11d ago |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 652.4 | $0.110 | $71.76 | 11d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 658.82 | $0.360 | $237.18 | 11d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.100 | $174.98 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.37 | $0.310 | $16.85 | 26d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.130 | $171.46 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.430 | $1.07K | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 746.53 | $0.113 | $84.53 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.88K | $0.116 | $1.03K | 29d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.316 | $1.01K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.410 | $1.02K | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.65K | $0.140 | $1.07K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.96K | $0.126 | $874.42 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.200 | $1.05K | 29d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.89K | $0.348 | $1K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.009 | $11.11 | 29d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.080 | $139.02 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.28K | $0.101 | $231.16 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.66K | $0.733 | $4.88K | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.915 | $1.36K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.885 | $1.96K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.836 | $1.01K | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released on August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.15 | $0.844 | $124.96 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.24 | $0.581 | $33.23 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.930 | $19.53 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.107 | $300 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.64K | $0.005 | $49.81 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 66.74 | $0.020 | $1.33 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 546.14 | $0.280 | $152.92 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 469.8 | $0.069 | $32.37 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.27K | $0.090 | $295.22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 66.49 | $0.039 | $2.56 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 31.98 | $0.140 | $4.48 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.37 | $0.180 | $3.49 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.19K | $0.200 | $237.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 945.72 | $0.033 | $31.21 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.420 | $433.09 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.082 | $249.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 129.7 | $0.054 | $6.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.210 | $249.84 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 99.28 | $0.023 | $2.27 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.4K | $0.109 | $590.53 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.58K | $0.099 | $452.52 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.155 | $547.87 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 548.71 | $0.392 | $215 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.475 | $489.65 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.92 | $0.120 | $10.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |