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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.340 |
| $3.4 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Epstein" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "World War II" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | sell | 13.64 | $0.999 | $13.63 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Discombobulating" or "Discombobulated" this week? (February 15)Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15)Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "World War II" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.696 | $9.5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15)Yes | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during EPA announcement?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.322 | $16.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)West Indies | buy | 6.11 | $0.900 | $5.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during remarks on January 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?No | buy | 15 | $0.390 | $5.85 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.360 | $3.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.550 | $8.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "401(k)" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.740 | $13.74 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.720 | $15.84 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.440 | $6.6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.600 | $13.2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)New Zealand | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)New Zealand | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 46.91 | $0.012 | $0.56 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieZverev | sell | 53 | $0.970 | $51.41 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieZverev | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance say "Peace" in Ohio on Thursday?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance say "Greenland" or "Denmark" in Ohio on Thursday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance say "Peace" in Ohio on Thursday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Ohio on Thursday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.460 | $11.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.572 | $34.29 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 12.18 | $0.180 | $2.19 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 16.5 | $0.910 | $15.02 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 12.18 | $0.320 | $3.9 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.320 | $1.7 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 12.06 | $0.180 | $2.17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.400 | $6.6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)Yes | sell | 38 | $0.944 | $35.86 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.260 | $1.57 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will "Jamie" be said 4+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)No | buy | 31.64 | $0.330 | $10.44 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)Yes | buy | 38 | $0.400 | $15.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Honored" or "Honor" 3+ times during dedication ceremony on Friday?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |