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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.886 | $1.79 | 10d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 2.04 |
| $0.986 |
| $2.01 |
| 10d ago |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.999 | $2.06 | 10d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.913 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.943 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Kingston Flemings be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.480 | $0.78 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17.09 | $0.998 | $17.06 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.989 | $9.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |