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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.05 | $0.130 | $3.78 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.7 |
| -$4.3 |
| sell |
| 7.05 |
| $0.460 |
| $3.24 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.14 | $0.490 | $3.99 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.810 | $4.92 | 7d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.250 | $5.68 | 7d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.419 | $2.83 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.770 | $6.28 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.620 | $1.18 | 21d ago |
 Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.680 | $2.76 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.590 | $1.77 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.75 | $0.480 | $4.68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.310 | $2.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |