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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.49 |
| $0.670 |
| $1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.410 | $1.87 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.640 | $1.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.190 | $0.63 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.740 | $1.19 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.172 | $1.12 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.800 | $1.15 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.950 | $3.16 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.220 | $0.44 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.092 | $0.6 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.100 | $0.45 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.570 | $0.77 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.170 | $0.61 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's trap video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.175 | $1.25 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.890 | $1.34 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.66 | $0.032 | $0.44 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.965 | $1.09 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's trap video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.640 | $1.03 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.350 | $1.03 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 13?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.780 | $0.98 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 14?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.945 | $0.99 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.880 | $4.94 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 14?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 13?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.995 | $1.11 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |