Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 234.41 | $0.839 | $200.42 | +$3.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 2d ago |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.620 |
| $61.5 |
| -$0.5 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.325 | $55 | -$10 |
 Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $36.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40 | $0.859 | $34.7 | +$0.34 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | Yes | 54 | $0.520 | $25.92 | -$2.16 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.215 | $24.35 | +$2.85 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 18 | $0.770 | $15.75 | +$1.89 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.140 | $5.1 | -$3.3 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 30 | $0.150 | $4.95 | +$0.45 |
| Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.34 | $0.600 | $1.12 | -$0.28 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.460 | $0.86 | +$0.4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1 | $0.430 | $0.51 | +$0.08 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.180 | $0.08 | -$0.11 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.130 | $0.07 | -$0.07 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 34.41 |
| $0.830 |
| $28.56 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.14 | $0.380 | $8.79 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 68.33 | $0.580 | $39.63 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 41.11 | $0.570 | $23.43 | 4d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.070 | $0.53 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 67.07 | $0.540 | $36.22 | 4d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 93.91 | $0.510 | $47.89 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.750 | $72.75 | 4d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 5d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.490 | $4.8 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.690 | $66.93 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 93.91 | $0.470 | $44.14 | 6d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 6d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 42.88 | $0.002 | $0.09 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.411 | $20.96 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 10d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 32.88 | $0.380 | $12.49 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 10d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | sell | 214.99 | $0.140 | $30.1 | 10d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 113.01 | $0.620 | $70.07 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.004 | $0.28 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 11d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | buy | 214.99 | $0.180 | $38.7 | 14d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | 17d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | 17d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 40 | $0.859 | $34.36 | 17d ago |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.590 | $5.89 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.293 | $14.94 | 17d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | sell | 97.78 | $0.999 | $97.68 | 17d ago |
 Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?No | sell | 86.24 | $0.800 | $68.99 | 17d ago |
| Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?No | sell | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 17d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.080 | $8 | 18d ago |
| Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?No | buy | 26.24 | $0.570 | $14.96 | 18d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.430 | $7.54 | 18d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 70 | $0.600 | $42 | 18d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 33.07 | $0.590 | $19.51 | 18d ago |