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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $13.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 11h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $12.44 |
| +$2.44 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 21.28 | $0.470 | $9.68 | -$0.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $8.75 | -$1.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.530 | $8.58 | -$1.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $8.26 | -$1.74 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $10 |
| 21h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 in August?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.770 | $6.41 | 23d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.790 | $7.18 | 24d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | 25d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.730 | $3.26 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.252 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.284 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.500 | $2.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?Down | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.424 | $1.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.37 | $0.254 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |