Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 818.41 | $0.602 | $429.66 | -$63.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.028 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 281.57 |
| $0.863 |
| $240.74 |
| -$2.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 274.69 | $0.810 | $240.35 | +$17.85 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 254.59 | $0.593 | $126.66 | -$24.37 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 93.77 | $0.811 | $81.12 | +$5.04 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 28.09 | $0.882 | $23.61 | -$1.16 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 21.3 | $0.830 | $18.85 | +$1.17 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.02 | $0.824 | $13.11 | +$1.56 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 33.78 | $0.254 | $12.04 | +$3.46 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 54.3 | $0.254 | $10.94 | -$2.84 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 19.91 | $0.738 | $10.88 | -$3.82 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 102.92 | $0.126 | $8.9 | -$4.1 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 241.37 | $0.043 | $8.81 | -$1.69 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100.89 | $0.070 | $7.87 | +$0.78 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.48 | $0.438 | $7.28 | +$0.93 |
 Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 6.92 | $0.760 | $6.26 | +$1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.74 | $0.949 | $5.06 | -$0.39 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? | Yes | 76.95 | $0.358 | $5 | -$22.57 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 61 | $0.102 | $3.97 | -$2.23 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.97 | $0.967 | $3.83 | -$0.01 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 3.44 | $0.320 | $3.01 | +$1.91 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.86 | $0.720 | $2.99 | +$0.21 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 99.5 | $0.021 | $2.98 | +$0.88 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 4.52 | $0.540 | $2.06 | -$0.38 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 135.34 | $0.015 | $2.03 | $0 |
| buy |
| 2.72 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.77 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.96 | $0.081 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.930 | $1.09 | 11d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.994 | $1.09 | 11d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.540 | $2.44 | 11d ago |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.997 | $1.98 | 11d ago |
 Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.370 | $1.07 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.56 | $0.090 | $1.04 | 12d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.647 | $1.02 | 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.800 | $1.09 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.220 | $1.09 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.330 | $1.27 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.410 | $1.09 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.480 | $1.07 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.510 | $1.07 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.530 | $1.99 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.520 | $1.94 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.550 | $1.07 | 13d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.560 | $1.07 | 13d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.108 | $1.62 | 13d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.108 | $1.05 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.720 | $2.78 | 13d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 3 minutes long?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.996 | $1.09 | 16d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.670 | $1.8 | 16d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.590 | $1.59 | 21d ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.55 | $0.110 | $1.05 | 21d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.017 | $0.08 | 22d ago |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33.87 | $0.031 | $1.05 | 27d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.43 | $0.438 | $1.94 | 27d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.438 | $1.87 | 27d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.439 | $2.54 | 27d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | 27d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | 27d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.720 | $1.41 | 27d ago |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.560 | $1.08 | 27d ago |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.560 | $1.08 | 27d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.726 | $1.43 | 27d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.253 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.253 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.253 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.252 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.272 | $1.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.84 | $0.446 | $31.14 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.377 | $2.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.41 | $0.328 | $23.44 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.699 | $1.48 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.698 | $8.93 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.42 | $0.836 | $19.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 22.17 | $0.820 | $18.18 | Jul 30, 2026 |