Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.380 | $45.79 | +$25.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 45.72 |
| $0.855 |
| $45.3 |
| +$6.22 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 40.47 | $0.943 | $39.01 | +$0.85 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | No | 39.98 | $0.954 | $38.9 | +$0.74 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 42.55 | $0.470 | $38.51 | +$18.51 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50.25 | $0.796 | $38.17 | -$1.83 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 96.93 | $0.206 | $23.31 | +$3.31 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20.76 | +$0.76 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 23.98 | $0.834 | $20.38 | +$0.38 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 20.08 | $0.950 | $19.18 | +$0.1 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $18.9 | -$1.1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 21.12 | $0.473 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.54 | $0.949 | $9.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $6.77 | -$3.23 |
 Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $3.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 6.85 | $0.730 | $2.64 | -$2.36 |
| buy |
| 8.93 |
| $0.560 |
| $5 |
| 6h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.290 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 6.64 | $0.752 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 21d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 272.57 | $0.070 | $19.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 28.22 | $0.647 | $18.26 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28.22 | $0.676 | $19.08 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.19 | $0.860 | $19.08 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte HornetsOrlando Magic | buy | 31.61 | $0.604 | $19.08 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte HornetsOrlando Magic | buy | 34.43 | $0.554 | $19.08 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit PistonsPhiladelphia 76ers | buy | 24.6 | $0.776 | $19.08 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit PistonsPhiladelphia 76ers | buy | 31.8 | $0.600 | $19.08 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves | buy | 20.88 | $0.914 | $19.08 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.19 | $0.945 | $19.08 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesAtlanta Braves | buy | 100.42 | $0.190 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.954 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.955 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | buy | 20.23 | $0.943 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | buy | 20.23 | $0.943 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.950 | $19.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 65 | $0.720 | $46.8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.962 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.260 | $7.54 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 21.39 | $0.935 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.98 | $0.834 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.971 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |