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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 116.17 | $0.120 | $5.23 | -$8.71 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100.24 | $0.230 | $23.06 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 818.13 |
| $0.029 |
| $23.73 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 180.3 | $0.066 | $11.9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.41 | $0.380 | $12.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | buy | 116.17 | $0.120 | $13.94 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.65 | $0.120 | $16.04 | May 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.049 | $1.03 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 658.82 | $0.050 | $32.94 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown | buy | 31.97 | $0.608 | $19.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 18.63 | $0.520 | $9.69 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 38.42 | $0.685 | $26.31 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | sell | 27.18 | $0.991 | $26.94 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 26.77 | $0.577 | $15.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 62.77 | $0.480 | $30.13 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 66.5 | $0.200 | $13.3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 305.78 | $0.832 | $254.34 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 148.16 | $0.525 | $77.77 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | sell | 115.18 | $0.675 | $77.77 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 37.95 | $0.550 | $20.87 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 86.95 | $0.240 | $20.87 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 116.29 | $0.543 | $63.19 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Yes | sell | 100.19 | $0.631 | $63.19 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 76.13 | $0.522 | $39.76 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.034 | $39.75 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 74.04 | $0.537 | $39.75 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.034 | $39.75 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ETDown | buy | 1.36K | $0.019 | $26.55 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 779.47 | $0.034 | $26.5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Yes | buy | 100.19 | $0.723 | $72.39 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?No | sell | 113.53 | $0.990 | $112.39 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Healthcare" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?No | buy | 113.53 | $0.150 | $17.03 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 170.18 | $0.100 | $17.02 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 867.31 | $0.037 | $32.09 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 8 | $0.540 | $4.32 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.530 | $3.18 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.19 | $0.160 | $27.23 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 750.19 | $0.036 | $27.01 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11AM ETUp | buy | 2.07K | $0.010 | $20.73 | Sep 12, 2025 |