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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 111.1 | $0.890 | $107.99 | +$9.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 82.09 | $0.950 | $77.99 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 112.4 |
| $0.879 |
| $104.25 |
| +$5.45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 105.3 | $0.940 | $103.51 | +$4.53 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 108.7 | $0.910 | $103.43 | +$4.51 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 113.6 | $0.880 | $101.1 | +$1.14 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 105.3 | $0.950 | $100.61 | +$0.58 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 108.7 | $0.910 | $100.6 | +$1.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 117.6 | $0.840 | $100.55 | +$1.76 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 111.1 | $0.890 | $100.55 | +$1.67 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 103.1 | $0.963 | $100.16 | +$0.83 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 106.4 | $0.930 | $99.48 | +$0.53 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 112.4 | $0.880 | $99.47 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 102 | $0.969 | $99.4 | +$0.58 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 114.9 | $0.860 | $99.39 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 111.1 | $0.890 | $96.1 | -$2.78 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 106.4 | $0.930 | $95.23 | -$3.72 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | No | 103.1 | $0.960 | $89.7 | -$9.28 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 112.4 | $0.880 | $88.23 | -$10.68 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 109.9 | $0.900 | $86.27 | -$12.64 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 103.1 | $0.960 | $5.05 | -$93.92 |
| sell |
| 80.01 |
| $0.710 |
| $56.81 |
| 3d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 67.09 | $0.720 | $48.3 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 114.9 | $0.860 | $98.81 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 111.1 | $0.890 | $98.88 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 106.4 | $0.930 | $98.95 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 148.1 | $0.250 | $37.03 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 209 | $0.260 | $54.39 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 172.4 | $0.450 | $77.58 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 357.1 | $0.270 | $96.42 | 5d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 112.4 | $0.880 | $98.91 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 117.6 | $0.840 | $98.78 | 7d ago |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 113.6 | $0.880 | $99.97 | 7d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.960 | $98.98 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.960 | $98.98 | 7d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 106.4 | $0.930 | $98.95 | 7d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 112.4 | $0.880 | $98.91 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | sell | 116.3 | $0.870 | $101.18 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 77.9 | $0.720 | $56.09 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.720 | $46.8 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 672.54 | $0.150 | $100.88 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.850 | $106.25 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 172.4 | $0.570 | $98.27 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 714.3 | $0.140 | $100 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 14.24 | $0.480 | $6.84 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 50.66 | $0.620 | $31.41 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 102 | $0.969 | $98.82 | 10d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 103.1 | $0.963 | $99.33 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 172.4 | $0.580 | $99.99 | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 112.4 | $0.879 | $98.8 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 196.1 | $0.410 | $80.4 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 172.4 | $0.570 | $98.27 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 111.1 | $0.890 | $98.88 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | sell | 109.9 | $0.790 | $86.82 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 196.1 | $0.500 | $98.05 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 114.9 | $0.860 | $98.81 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 140.8 | $0.570 | $80.26 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 119 | $0.870 | $103.53 | 12d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.910 | $98.92 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.790 | $98.75 | 12d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 294.1 | $0.370 | $108.82 | 12d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.1 | $0.890 | $98.88 | 12d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.910 | $98.92 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 129.9 | $0.760 | $98.72 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 105.3 | $0.940 | $98.98 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 116.3 | $0.850 | $98.85 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 288.32 | $0.380 | $109.56 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.340 | $1.97 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 294.1 | $0.340 | $99.99 | 15d ago |