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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | sell | 106.13 | $0.999 | $106.02 | Nov 16, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 9.39 |
| $0.280 |
| $2.63 |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | sell | 23.84 | $0.110 | $2.62 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 23.85 | $0.130 | $3.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?No | sell | 46.57 | $0.015 | $0.7 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | sell | 40.11 | $0.060 | $2.41 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?No | buy | 46.57 | $0.070 | $3.26 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.930 | $3.26 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 40.11 | $0.270 | $10.83 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 29.23 | $0.650 | $19 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 30.11 | $0.991 | $29.84 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 45.92 | $0.630 | $28.93 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 30.1 | $0.961 | $28.93 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 34.49 | $0.720 | $24.83 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 25.03 | $0.992 | $24.83 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 60.21 | $0.945 | $56.9 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 25.04 | $0.989 | $24.76 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | sell | 319.86 | $0.959 | $306.75 | Dec 18, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | sell | 105 | $0.959 | $100.7 | Dec 17, 2023 |
 Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?No | buy | 56.64 | $0.221 | $12.54 | Dec 11, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | sell | 13 | $0.964 | $12.53 | Dec 11, 2023 |
| Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?No | buy | 40.9 | $0.200 | $8.18 | Dec 11, 2023 |
 Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.180 | $8.18 | Dec 9, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | buy | 26.3 | $0.690 | $18.15 | Dec 4, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Dec 2, 2023 |
 Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.016 | $0.15 | Nov 29, 2023 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?No | buy | 23.38 | $0.840 | $19.64 | Nov 26, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.460 | $3.24 | Nov 20, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | buy | 47.95 | $0.730 | $35 | Nov 20, 2023 |
 Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Nov 19, 2023 |
 Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.050 | $0.38 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Nov 19, 2023 |
| Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.510 | $4.55 | Nov 19, 2023 |
 Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?No | sell | 42.55 | $0.910 | $38.72 | Nov 18, 2023 |
| Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Nov 18, 2023 |
 Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Nov 17, 2023 |
 Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Nov 16, 2023 |
| Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 15, 2023 |
 Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Nov 14, 2023 |
| Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 14, 2023 |
| Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Nov 7, 2023 |
| Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Nov 7, 2023 |
| LayerZero airdrop in 2023?No | buy | 290.02 | $0.527 | $152.83 | Nov 7, 2023 |