Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 2.39 | $0.490 | $2.37 | +$1.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.230 | $1.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 2.78 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.24 |
| +$0.57 |
 Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.730 | $2.1 | -$0.29 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? | No | 2.32 | $0.660 | $2.05 | +$0.52 |
| Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 3.2 | $0.700 | $2.05 | -$0.19 |
| Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 1.93 | $0.710 | $1.39 | +$0.02 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 4? | Yes | 2.41 | $0.440 | $1.23 | +$0.17 |
| Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.780 | $0.89 | -$0.24 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.21 | $0.480 | $0.81 | -$1.69 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.48 | $0.250 | $0.36 | -$1.01 |
| buy |
| 5.16 |
| $0.320 |
| $1.65 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.459 | $1.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.432 | $2.15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?No | buy | 8.24 | $0.289 | $2.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.320 | $2.01 | May 28, 2026 |
 FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.340 | $2.36 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.330 | $2.37 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Chair" this week?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.320 | $1.83 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?No | buy | 4.86 | $0.360 | $1.75 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?Yes | buy | 7.68 | $0.310 | $2.38 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.380 | $2.2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 4.73 | $0.370 | $1.75 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.260 | $1.41 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.310 | $1.84 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.470 | $2.4 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.435 | $2.2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.440 | $2.35 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?No | buy | 80 | $0.019 | $1.52 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.307 | $1.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on April 22?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.410 | $2.34 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 21?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.410 | $2.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.290 | $1.58 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Dow (DOW) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.210 | $1.13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.300 | $1.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.330 | $1.54 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.520 | $2.45 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on April 20?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.460 | $2.19 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 16?Yes | buy | 7.16 | $0.240 | $1.72 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on April 14?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.461 | $1.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 14?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.240 | $2.11 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.290 | $1.61 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on April 2?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.230 | $1.8 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on April 2?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.290 | $1.92 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.380 | $2.32 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.380 | $2.36 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.360 | $1.84 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 5 | $0.288 | $1.44 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.290 | $1.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |