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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1.41K | $0.446 | $712.31 | +$83.69 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.720 | $1.79 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 745 |
| $0.550 |
| $353.88 |
| -$55.88 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.480 | $339 | +$51 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 594 | $0.490 | $335.61 | +$44.55 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 600 | $0.348 | $210.9 | +$2.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 351.7 | $0.428 | $177.61 | +$26.95 |
 Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.760 | $167 | +$15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 333.55 | $0.438 | $165.11 | +$19.17 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | Yes | 250 | $0.530 | $131.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.470 | $109 | +$15 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 299.99 | $0.340 | $106.5 | +$4.5 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | No | 420 | $0.085 | $35.07 | -$0.44 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 133.86 | $0.250 | $30.79 | -$2.69 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.182 | $14.45 | -$3.75 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | Yes | 91.87 | $0.324 | $11.48 | -$18.27 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.118 | $7.3 | -$4.5 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | No | 2.48 | $0.720 | $1.4 | -$0.39 |
| buy |
| 420 |
| $0.085 |
| $35.51 |
| 16h ago |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?No | sell | 250 | $0.470 | $117.5 | 16h ago |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.530 | $132.5 | 16h ago |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?No | buy | 250 | $0.480 | $120 | 16h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 228.05 | $0.580 | $132.27 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 228.05 | $0.570 | $129.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.126 | $25.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.530 | $166.42 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Yes | sell | 231.93 | $0.251 | $58.14 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.284 | $25.55 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Yes | buy | 321.93 | $0.256 | $82.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 192.39 | $0.324 | $62.31 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.63 | $0.950 | $107.95 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 102°F or higher on September 1?Yes | buy | 25.26 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | 11d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.03 | $0.300 | $55.21 | 11d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.11K | $0.004 | $24.45 | 11d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.006 | $6.67 | 11d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 661.12 | $0.850 | $561.95 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.1 | $0.039 | $1.91 | 14d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | sell | 37.76 | $0.412 | $15.56 | 14d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 37.76 | $0.410 | $15.47 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.045 | $1.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | 14d ago |
 Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 | buy | 475.96 | $0.347 | $165.18 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.041 | $6.93 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 419.1 | $0.037 | $15.57 | 14d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.753 | $97.89 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 315 | $0.860 | $270.9 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.909 | $113.68 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?No | buy | 61.4 | $0.904 | $55.49 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?No | buy | 480 | $0.866 | $415.61 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 341.82 | $0.800 | $273.46 | 16d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 795.83 | $0.250 | $198.7 | 20d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.04 | $0.560 | $14.02 | 21d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 31.1 | $0.910 | $28.3 | 23d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 204.99 | $0.189 | $38.73 | 26d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.550 | $79.75 | 29d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.550 | $330 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | 29d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.15K | $0.190 | $408.84 | 29d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.346 | $103.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |