Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump issue an executive order on March 6?Yes | buy | 17.01 | $0.900 | $15.31 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 342.36 |
| $0.292 |
| $100 |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 23.61 | $0.999 | $23.59 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 138.84 | $0.320 | $44.43 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by January 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?Yes | buy | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 136.17 | $0.470 | $64 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 130.1 | $0.590 | $76.76 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?No | sell | 40 | $0.978 | $39.12 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | sell | 29.85 | $0.926 | $27.64 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?No | buy | 295.25 | $0.311 | $91.87 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Solana above $135 on September 20?No | buy | 75.67 | $0.449 | $34 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Trump | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?Yes | buy | 77.2 | $0.389 | $30 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?Hikaru | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released before October?Yes | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 116.65 | $0.790 | $92.15 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 23.61 | $0.847 | $20 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | sell | 100 | $0.947 | $94.7 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | sell | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 40 | $0.954 | $38.17 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Dutch government formed before June?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | May 17, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 90-104 times?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 17, 2024 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPLYes | sell | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | May 11, 2024 |
 Congress passes bill banning TikTok by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Apr 23, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?No | sell | 60 | $0.961 | $57.66 | Apr 18, 2024 |
 NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Apr 17, 2024 |
 OpenAI Sora public release before May?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.600 | $2.16 | Apr 14, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high in April?No | sell | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Apr 14, 2024 |
 Ben Shapiro + Candace Owens debate by Friday?No | sell | 40 | $0.972 | $38.88 | Apr 12, 2024 |
 Will Caleb Williams be taken with the 1st pick in the 2024 NFL Draft?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.951 | $190.2 | Apr 4, 2024 |
 RCP: Trump by +2.3-2.5 on April 5?No | sell | 40 | $0.961 | $38.44 | Apr 2, 2024 |
 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' over $80m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.995 | $39.78 | Apr 2, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on Mar 29?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.981 | $39.24 | Mar 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump make bond by March 25?No | sell | 40 | $0.981 | $39.24 | Mar 26, 2024 |
 New York AG seizes Trump’s assets in March?No | sell | 40 | $0.991 | $39.64 | Mar 26, 2024 |
 Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.950 | $66.5 | Mar 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump make bond by March 25?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Mar 22, 2024 |
 US bank failure in March?No | sell | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Mar 22, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Mar 21, 2024 |