Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $2.28 | +$1.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.23 |
| $0.310 |
| $2.05 |
| +$1.05 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1 | $0.500 | $0.86 | +$0.36 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1 | $0.500 | $0.76 | +$0.26 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.61 | -$1.39 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0.24 | -$0.26 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0.14 | -$0.36 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0.02 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 1.31 |
| $0.762 |
| $1 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max DahlinTom Gentzsch | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1 | $0.977 | $0.98 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.92 | $0.184 | $0.91 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.203 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Busan IPark vs. Suwon Bluewings: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver | buy | 1.12 | $0.892 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | sell | 11.42 | $0.050 | $0.57 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Alec Pierce be traded?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Alec Pierce be traded?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.252 | $1.31 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.130 | $1.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 18.05 | $0.055 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.093 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.192 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |