Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.700 | $9.99 | Sep 7, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 6.41 |
| $0.740 |
| $4.74 |
| Aug 27, 2025 |
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.790 | $9 | Aug 27, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by September 15?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.901 | $9 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | sell | 8.64 | $0.950 | $8.21 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.990 | $8.13 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.850 | $6.98 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.810 | $7 | Aug 4, 2025 |
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?No | buy | 7.74 | $0.840 | $6.5 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.570 | $6.5 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.886 | $6.19 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.800 | $4.95 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Jul 26, 2025 |
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 6 | $0.810 | $4.86 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 4.57 | $0.963 | $4.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.730 | $3.86 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.978 | $7.86 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Trump x Putin talk by July 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.801 | $4.81 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.660 | $3.02 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?Down | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | sell | 4.27 | $0.941 | $4.02 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?Down | buy | 6.97 | $0.660 | $4.6 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | sell | 3.72 | $0.860 | $3.2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 7.66 | $0.740 | $5.67 | Jul 14, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.998 | $5.67 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Solana above $170 on July 18?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.770 | $8.07 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 8.47 | $0.953 | $8.07 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on July 18?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.620 | $5.05 | Jul 12, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | sell | 2.61 | $0.940 | $2.45 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.880 | $6.69 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 14?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.981 | $6.69 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.720 | $3.83 | Jul 10, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.690 | $3.83 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.620 | $2.65 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 14?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.840 | $5.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.995 | $5.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.650 | $1.72 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | sell | 2.45 | $0.700 | $1.72 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.700 | $1.72 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 9?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.820 | $1.72 | Jul 8, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.682 | $3.79 | Jul 8, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 20.08 | $0.189 | $3.8 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.950 | $2.48 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?No | sell | 7.61 | $0.100 | $0.76 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.290 | $1.72 | Jul 8, 2025 |