Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 922 | $0.960 | $906.79 | +$21.67 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 331 | $0.961 | $318.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 549.56 |
| $0.980 |
| $538.57 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 139 | $0.966 | $134.26 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 640 | $0.960 | $614.4 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 869 | $0.997 | $866.39 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 108.95 | $0.210 | $22.88 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 732 | $0.944 | $691.01 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 880 | $0.997 | $877.36 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 137 | $0.932 | $127.65 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 549.56 | $0.963 | $529.23 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 686 | $0.880 | $603.68 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 745.71 | $0.840 | $626.4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.961 | $1.32K | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | buy | 110.69 | $0.870 | $96.3 | Jun 26, 2024 |
 Is $DJT real?No | buy | 127 | $0.800 | $101.6 | Jun 18, 2024 |
 Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Yes | buy | 40.95 | $0.625 | $25.6 | May 23, 2024 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.540 | $120 | May 20, 2024 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?No | buy | 247 | $0.810 | $200.07 | Apr 2, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q2 2024?No | buy | 250 | $0.900 | $225 | Mar 31, 2024 |
 SBF sentence between 20 and 30 years?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 28, 2024 |
| SBF sentence between 10 and 20 years?No | buy | 101.12 | $0.890 | $90 | Mar 19, 2024 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.570 | $62.7 | Mar 5, 2024 |
 Biden cognitive test before April?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Feb 20, 2024 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.390 | $210.6 | Feb 18, 2024 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Yes | buy | 704.5 | $0.467 | $329 | Feb 8, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by May 1?Yes | buy | 900.3 | $0.790 | $711.24 | Jan 30, 2024 |