Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.760 | $2.11 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $1 |
| Aug 19, 2025 |
 Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?Boy | buy | 7.94 | $0.504 | $4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.820 | $4.2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast say "Survive" or "Survives" during his next video?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hoax" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 26.54 | $0.243 | $6.44 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" this week?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | sell | 7.65 | $0.410 | $3.14 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.458 | $6.27 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 14.95 | $0.420 | $6.28 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.430 | $2.52 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.940 | $1.56 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 "Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–84%?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 FDA approves Telix Pharmaceuticals’ TLX250-CDx for kidney cancer imaging?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Israel | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam"?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hillary" this week?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam"?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.300 | $2.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.740 | $9.86 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.392 | $3 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 7.5K | $0.004 | $30 | Jul 30, 2025 |