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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 318.18 | $0.440 | $140 | 19d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 275 |
| $0.899 |
| $247.36 |
| 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 175 | $0.400 | $70 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.569 | $58 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 206.25 | $0.320 | $66 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 142.45 | $0.870 | $123.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 203.17 | $0.610 | $123.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 45.83 | $0.870 | $39.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 203.17 | $0.630 | $128 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Yes | buy | 211.83 | $0.189 | $40 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 344.85 | $0.390 | $134.49 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 310.47 | $0.417 | $129.57 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 201.2 | $0.500 | $100.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.080 | $6.16 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.100 | $6.5 | Dec 23, 2025 |