Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.024 | $27 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 25.86 |
| $0.650 |
| $16.81 |
| Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 170.28 | $0.358 | $61 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 AOC pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.810 | $0.95 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 43.08 | $0.650 | $28 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | sell | 24.51 | $0.996 | $24.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | buy | 24.52 | $0.770 | $18.88 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Vote" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "All Americans" or "Every American" in her speech after the election is called?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.395 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 No prison time for Hunter Biden in gun case?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Russia" or "Russian" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Israel military strike against Iran in November?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.197 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.201 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.161 | $10.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 248.76 | $0.402 | $100 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?No | sell | 103 | $0.930 | $95.79 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.402 | $10 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 127.03 | $0.079 | $10 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Jets vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "moderator" during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "DEI" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "DEI" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "racist" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "JD Vance" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 19.51 | $0.410 | $8 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "border" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.69 | $0.629 | $30 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.18 | $0.579 | $25 | Sep 18, 2024 |