Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 55.96 | $0.500 | $55.94 | +$27.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 61.27 | $0.993 | $60.84 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 65.9 |
| $0.500 |
| $33.11 |
| +$0.16 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 65.9 | $0.500 | $32.79 | -$0.16 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 55.96 | $0.500 | $0.03 | -$27.95 |
| sell |
| 6.27 |
| $0.810 |
| $5.08 |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 61.28 | $0.978 | $59.93 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.994 | $5.58 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.870 | $5.46 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 120.32 | $0.920 | $110.69 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 112.72 | $0.972 | $109.61 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will New Hampshire be the closest state?No | buy | 109.95 | $0.999 | $109.84 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 110.37 | $0.995 | $109.84 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 110.37 | $0.998 | $110.15 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 115.95 | $0.950 | $110.15 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 115.95 | $0.959 | $111.2 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?No | buy | 111.2 | $0.996 | $110.76 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Maine's 2nd congressional district?No | sell | 111.09 | $0.997 | $110.76 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Maine's 2nd congressional district?No | buy | 111.09 | $0.999 | $110.98 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 110.97 | $0.995 | $110.42 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 110.42 | $0.997 | $110.09 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?No | sell | 250.22 | $0.440 | $110.1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?No | buy | 250.22 | $0.450 | $112.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | sell | 261.86 | $0.430 | $112.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | buy | 261.87 | $0.450 | $117.84 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Tennessee US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 119.51 | $0.986 | $117.84 | Sep 7, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Tennessee US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 119.52 | $0.990 | $118.32 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?Yes | buy | 118.32 | $0.999 | $118.2 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 122.11 | $0.968 | $118.2 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 122.12 | $0.968 | $118.21 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | buy | 118.21 | $0.999 | $118.09 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 236.58 | $0.499 | $118.05 | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 236.59 | $0.501 | $118.53 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 450.68 | $0.263 | $118.57 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 450.68 | $0.264 | $118.98 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 123.93 | $0.960 | $118.97 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 123.94 | $0.968 | $119.97 | Aug 26, 2024 |