Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 116.42 | $0.859 | $112.87 | +$12.87 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 95.7 |
| $0.104 |
| $81.78 |
| +$71.78 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 58.82 | $0.850 | $55.59 | +$5.59 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027? | No | 57.57 | $0.347 | $52.1 | +$32.1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 43.86 | $0.912 | $42.17 | +$2.17 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 33.78 | $0.888 | $31.95 | +$1.95 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 41.67 | $0.480 | $19.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.720 | $13.47 | -$6.53 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $6.69 | -$3.31 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 81.8 | $0.489 | $6.54 | -$33.46 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.380 | $5.7 | -$9.3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $3.55 | -$6.45 |
| sell |
| 84.74 |
| $0.248 |
| $21.02 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 64.12 | $0.078 | $5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 33.37 | $0.899 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?No | buy | 14.46 | $0.692 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 81.8 | $0.489 | $40 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.070 | $2.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No | buy | 108.25 | $0.924 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 109.76 | $0.820 | $90 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 104.68 | $0.955 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.888 | $30 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 43.86 | $0.912 | $40 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 49.27 | $0.406 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.064 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 110.11 | $0.908 | $100 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.999 | $52.58 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.999 | $227.04 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 95.7 | $0.104 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Ledger IPO before 2027?No | buy | 57.57 | $0.347 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tampon Tim" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 53.49 | $0.935 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 53.83 | $0.929 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.476 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |