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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.210 | $12 | Oct 19, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 15.15 |
| $0.800 |
| $12.12 |
| Oct 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 62.35 | $0.176 | $11 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCanelo | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will the Bengals grow up?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | sell | 65.35 | $0.077 | $5.01 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 65.36 | $0.153 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Elon register the America Party in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will LeBron James join a new team this offseason?Yes | buy | 39.19 | $0.128 | $5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.650 | $25 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 78.41 | $0.987 | $77.39 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 22.9 | $0.410 | $9.39 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will LeBron James join a new team this offseason?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 27.97 | $0.071 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.488 | $10 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 16.6 | $0.900 | $14.94 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 47.93 | $0.030 | $1.44 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.065 | $1.03 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 16.6 | $0.301 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.061 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.645 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |