Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $7.24 | +$2.24 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.83 |
| $0.277 |
| $1.53 |
| -$1.47 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.78 | $0.173 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 1.56 | $0.640 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.007 | $0.06 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during Board of Peace events on February 19?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.83 | $0.277 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.040 | $0.73 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |