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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.070 | $156 | -$12 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.029 | $34.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.029 |
| $29 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.029 | $60.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 204.3 | $0.021 | $4.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.3K | $0.030 | $99 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.262 | $131.07 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Yes | buy | 29.61 | $0.107 | $3.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.050 | $125 | May 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.420 | $504 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.022 | $154 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.060 | $204 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $200 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.038 | $68.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.038 | $60.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.038 | $52.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.036 | $50.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.033 | $19.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 20.84 | $0.952 | $19.84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.391 | $398.5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 11.26 | $0.550 | $6.19 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 92.99 | $0.190 | $17.67 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.150 | $345 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.025 | $0.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.460 | $460 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.170 | $255 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao FonsecaArthur Rinderknech | buy | 95.68 | $0.280 | $26.79 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 288.52 | $0.060 | $17.31 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 436.69 | $0.262 | $114.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.392 | $400 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.502 | $200.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 400.24 | $0.510 | $204.02 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 200.99 | $0.650 | $130.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 160.25 | $0.139 | $22.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.040 | $11.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.035 | $35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 235 | $0.030 | $7.05 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.029 | $5.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.032 | $0.26 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.356 | $407.59 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 626.56 | $0.319 | $200 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 630.14 | $0.317 | $200 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.244 | $289.34 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.881 | $881 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.076 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.170 | $119 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.060 | $102 | Jan 20, 2026 |