Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.860 | $9.65 | +$1.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.063 | $0.63 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.177 |
| $6.15 |
| +$0.85 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.630 | $3.48 | +$0.33 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15 | $0.260 | $3.08 | -$0.83 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $2.58 | +$1.58 |
 Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.098 | $1.75 | -$1.68 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.070 | $1.21 | +$0.51 |
 OKX IPO in 2026? | Yes | 20.42 | $0.289 | $1.12 | -$4.78 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.113 | $1.13 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.277 | $1.39 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.061 | $0.61 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.509 | $9.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Netflix win the most Emmys?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.550 | $7.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.275 | $2.75 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.933 | $9.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.298 | $5.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.977 | $9.76 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.022 | $0.22 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.978 | $9.77 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.977 | $9.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.978 | $9.77 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.342 | $3.42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.280 | $2.51 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.630 | $2.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.327 | $3.27 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 4 | $0.050 | $0.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15.3 | $0.057 | $0.87 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.190 | $1.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.850 | $8.49 | Jun 27, 2026 |