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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.960 | $1.78 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.12 |
| $0.998 |
| $1.12 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.994 | $1.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.987 | $2.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ETDown | buy | 99.63 | $0.910 | $90.66 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.977 | $195.45 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ETDown | buy | 49.04 | $0.970 | $47.57 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ETUp | buy | 300 | $0.997 | $299.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9K | $0.997 | $8.97K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9K | $0.998 | $8.98K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | sell | 8.99K | $0.997 | $8.96K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 8.99K | $0.998 | $8.97K | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on April 14?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.992 | $2.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.985 | $4.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.950 | $1.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.925 | $2.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.999 | $10.42 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.930 | $2.7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.998 | $7.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.989 | $1.7 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Wealthfront IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.980 | $1.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.976 | $1.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.954 | $1.3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.978 | $1.3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.965 | $1.6 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 231.53 | $0.999 | $231.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 4.24K | $0.999 | $4.23K | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $4800 on September 3?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.998 | $1.32 | Sep 2, 2025 |