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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 180.54 | $0.996 | $179.82 | Dec 19, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 180.54 |
| $0.997 |
| $180 |
| Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 180.18 | $0.998 | $179.82 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 180.18 | $0.999 | $180 | Dec 19, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.390 | $0.67 | May 23, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.994 | $5.98 | Oct 22, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.002 | $2.7 | Jun 19, 2024 |
Will Spain win Group B?Yes | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Jun 19, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q2 2024?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jun 19, 2024 |
Will HOBBES reach $1b first?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.997 | $0.5 | Jun 19, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 359.06 | $0.980 | $351.88 | Jun 9, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 359.07 | $0.988 | $354.76 | Jun 7, 2024 |