Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Feb 16, 2026 |
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laukaiu is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,511,889 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$73.69 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 60.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xe8493f1d4938847ce05644ca19876ae4d56b0e7d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.920 |
| $4.6 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on February 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.58 | $0.830 | $2.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.32 | $0.900 | $2.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 8.6 | $0.340 | $2.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.600 | $2.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.590 | $2.86 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 499.98 | $0.010 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.31 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 37.06 | $0.054 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 14.21 | $0.410 | $5.82 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | buy | 10.73 | $0.930 | $9.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown | buy | 13.23 | $0.150 | $1.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 6.5 | $0.920 | $5.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | sell | 14.06 | $0.990 | $13.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or higher on February 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | buy | 13.85 | $0.560 | $7.76 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 11.84 | $0.410 | $4.85 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 11.03 | $0.903 | $9.96 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.29 | $0.910 | $2.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.32 | $0.900 | $2.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 16.95 | $0.880 | $14.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.728 | $2.94 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.03 | $0.730 | $2.94 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.760 | $2.95 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.25 | $0.690 | $2.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.94 | $0.590 | $2.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.56 | $0.640 | $2.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.43 | $0.660 | $2.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.94 | $0.590 | $2.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 6.18 | $0.470 | $2.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.56 | $0.880 | $11.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 5.9 | $0.840 | $4.95 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | sell | 11.45 | $0.050 | $0.57 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 7.39 | $0.660 | $4.87 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.6 | $0.510 | $3.88 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | buy | 11.28 | $0.430 | $4.85 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.82 | $0.440 | $3.88 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 8.47 | $0.573 | $4.85 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 10.09 | $0.480 | $4.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.