Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Austria | buy | 93.75 | $0.640 | $60 | Jun 22, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 153.84 |
| $0.360 |
| $55.38 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | sell | 119.4 | $0.660 | $78.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 119.4 | $0.670 | $80 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.220 | $47.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.519 | $1.65 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.005 | $0.31 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 194.8 | $0.500 | $97.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.33 | $0.400 | $42.53 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 110.32 | $0.413 | $45.56 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 37.78 | $0.172 | $6.49 | May 24, 2026 |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 357.15 | $0.027 | $9.64 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 65.6 | $0.297 | $19.48 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 135.39 | $0.037 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 125.43 | $0.040 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.016 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 100.68 | $0.007 | $0.74 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 39.57 | $0.489 | $19.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.46 | $0.940 | $15.47 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No | sell | 229.44 | $0.070 | $16.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No | buy | 220.78 | $0.090 | $19.87 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.060 | $21.43 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 140.44 | $0.563 | $79.05 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | sell | 105.41 | $0.750 | $79.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 101.79 | $0.560 | $57 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.270 | $4.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.110 | $22 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 105.42 | $0.769 | $81.11 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 230.23 | $0.043 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.83 | $0.688 | $48.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?No | buy | 266.9 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.34 | $0.461 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 171.38 | $0.583 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 57.99 | $0.160 | $9.28 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 67.73 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |