Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 42.11 | $0.570 | $30.32 | +$6.32 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.44 | $0.350 | $4 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 33.42 |
| $0.581 |
| $26.23 |
| +$6.81 |
 Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | No | 27.26 | $0.749 | $25.51 | +$5.09 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 23.96 | $0.835 | $20.73 | +$0.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 24.47 | $0.770 | $20.19 | +$1.35 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 50.03 | $0.400 | $17.26 | -$2.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 18.8 | $0.686 | $14.38 | +$1.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 17.09 | $0.774 | $14.1 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 15.58 | $0.850 | $13.47 | +$0.23 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.530 | $12.55 | +$2.55 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 18.11 | $0.630 | $12.22 | +$0.81 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? | Yes | 12.78 | $0.915 | $11.88 | +$0.18 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 15.07 | $0.720 | $11.53 | +$0.68 |
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 37.29 | $0.340 | $11.37 | -$1.31 |
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 18.11 | $0.731 | $11.23 | -$2.02 |
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 25.54 | $0.480 | $8.17 | -$4.09 |
 Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | No | 11.79 | $0.630 | $8.02 | +$0.59 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 10.28 | $0.460 | $7.97 | +$3.24 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 9.41 | $0.730 | $7.86 | +$0.99 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | No | 11.82 | $0.550 | $7.74 | +$1.24 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | No | 24.84 | $0.241 | $7.7 | +$1.7 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 18.61 | $0.437 | $6.61 | -$1.53 |
 Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | Yes | 10.01 | $0.710 | $6.2 | -$0.9 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 10.53 | $0.430 | $5.32 | +$0.79 |
| sell |
| 2.33 |
| $0.570 |
| $1.33 |
| 13h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes | sell | 7.47 | $0.920 | $6.87 | 1d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 56.6 | $0.660 | $37.36 | 1d ago |
 Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.977 | $0.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.980 | $0.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.972 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?No | sell | 15.66 | $0.910 | $14.25 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes | sell | 18.07 | $0.920 | $16.62 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes | sell | 24.46 | $0.890 | $21.77 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 67.3 | $0.340 | $22.88 | 3d ago |
| Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.950 | $6.04 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.690 | $2.57 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 59.13 | $0.700 | $41.39 | 3d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 96.82 | $0.160 | $15.49 | 3d ago |
 Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No | sell | 16.46 | $0.840 | $13.83 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.940 | $15.66 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 22.55 | $0.930 | $20.97 | 4d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | sell | 16.73 | $0.997 | $16.68 | 5d ago |
| Will Helen Eliasson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.983 | $0.11 | 5d ago |
 Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.923 | $0.16 | 5d ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.810 | $0.2 | 6d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.440 | $1.24 | 8d ago |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.160 | $0.57 | 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.030 | $1.25 | 8d ago |
 Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.900 | $2.5 | 8d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.97 | $0.609 | $21.91 | 8d ago |
 Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.050 | $0.45 | 8d ago |
 Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.855 | $1.12 | 8d ago |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.270 | $1.43 | 8d ago |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.590 | $1.49 | 8d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | 8d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | sell | 16.82 | $0.490 | $8.24 | 8d ago |
 Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 28.23 | $0.890 | $25.12 | 8d ago |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | sell | 23.14 | $0.790 | $18.28 | 8d ago |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.270 | $10.38 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.61 | $0.190 | $3.54 | 9d ago |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 0.52 | $0.270 | $0.14 | 9d ago |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes | sell | 64.3 | $0.880 | $56.58 | 9d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 188.52 | $0.351 | $66.17 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.45 | $0.290 | $3.03 | 9d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 22.97 | $0.210 | $4.82 | 9d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 76.17 | $0.470 | $35.8 | 9d ago |
| Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.900 | $0.37 | 9d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.640 | $6.04 | 10d ago |
| Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.790 | $0.31 | 11d ago |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.520 | $1.32 | 11d ago |
| Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.825 | $0.15 | 11d ago |
 Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | sell | 11.66 | $0.213 | $2.48 | 11d ago |