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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 20.16 | $0.992 | $17.9 | -$2.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 290 |
| $0.998 |
| $289.42 |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 297.9 | $0.999 | $297.6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 304.3 | $0.998 | $303.69 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 304.3 | $0.999 | $304 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.972 | $0.99 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.950 | $1.07 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.995 | $2.23 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Italy vs. GermanyGermany | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Texas A&M make the 2025 Final Four?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridReal Madrid | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will 'The Brutalist' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.960 | $2.61 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Manchester United wins the Premier League?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.953 | $2.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Aston Villa wins the Premier League?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.068 | $0.8 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.002 | $3.33 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Southampton wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Aston Villa wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 17, 2024 |