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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.200 | $650 | -$1.35K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.77K | $0.220 | $1.71K | Jul 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.84K |
| $0.270 |
| $127.74 |
| -$638.69 |
| sell |
| 42.38K |
| $0.050 |
| $2.12K |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.985 | $0.24 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.54K | $0.310 | $4.82K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 27.77K | $0.812 | $22.56K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 14.68K | $0.839 | $12.32K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 52.38K | $0.150 | $7.86K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | sell | 3.14 | $0.680 | $2.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.788 | $2.12K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 11.36K | $0.880 | $10K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 10.13K | $0.772 | $7.82K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.18 | $0.030 | $2.29 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 385.72 | $0.958 | $369.52 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 272.4 | $0.961 | $261.68 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.924 | $950.38 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.34K | $0.967 | $1.29K | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.740 | $33.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.4 | $0.018 | $2.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 906.12 | $0.017 | $15.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.93K | $0.016 | $62.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.880 | $1.24K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 424.33 | $0.850 | $360.68 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5.78K | $0.500 | $2.89K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 8.48K | $0.930 | $7.88K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 11.52K | $0.930 | $10.72K | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.34K | $0.891 | $10.1K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 4K | $0.950 | $3.8K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.066 | $117.69 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.98K | $0.073 | $581.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 677.09 | $0.071 | $48.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.687 | $51.53 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.35K | $0.140 | $889.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.53K | $0.130 | $849.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.95K | $0.073 | $215.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.069 | $83.75 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 273.17 | $0.079 | $21.58 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.084 | $104.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.096 | $96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.096 | $96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 169.92 | $0.015 | $2.55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.68K | $0.106 | $707.43 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.114 | $6.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 10.74 | $0.998 | $10.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.41K | $0.124 | $1.67K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.12K | $0.118 | $1.55K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.023 | $115 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |