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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 242.94 | $0.008 | $2 | May 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 210 |
| $0.330 |
| $69.3 |
| May 4, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?Yes | sell | 374.07 | $0.030 | $11.3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.991 | $1.94 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.031 | $4.71 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.070 | $6.16 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?Yes | sell | 140.77 | $0.091 | $12.77 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.288 | $14.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.065 | $2 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.080 | $0.56 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.040 | $4.88 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?Yes | buy | 53.62 | $0.075 | $4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.770 | $9.31 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 250.34 | $0.016 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 15.58 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" by April 4?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.600 | $1.25 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 42.43 | $0.535 | $22.69 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 31.07 | $0.700 | $21.75 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" by April 4?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.990 | $7.85 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 15.58 | $0.128 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NAFTA" during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "VAT" or "Value added tax" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.160 | $6.72 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | sell | 8 | $0.840 | $6.72 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?Yes | buy | 22.43 | $0.230 | $5.16 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelCrawford | sell | 6 | $0.860 | $5.16 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?Yes | buy | 11.68 | $0.310 | $3.62 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.945 | $2.97 | Apr 1, 2025 |