Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 16 |
| $0.310 |
| $4.96 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?Down | buy | 9.69 | $0.480 | $4.65 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.300 | $4.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.560 | $0.51 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 30.09 | $0.037 | $1.11 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.22 | $0.460 | $7.92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | sell | 31 | $0.250 | $7.75 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.540 | $9.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 12.12 | $0.814 | $9.87 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.790 | $11.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.012 | $0.64 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes | buy | 55.31 | $0.179 | $9.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 58 | $0.210 | $12.18 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 14 | $0.680 | $9.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.540 | $9.72 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.690 | $9.66 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.690 | $9.66 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.840 | $9.24 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 17.12 | $0.556 | $9.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 17.22 | $0.572 | $9.86 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.09 | $0.329 | $9.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.999 | $10.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 31 | $0.320 | $9.92 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 18.41 | $0.510 | $9.39 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 27.28 | $0.350 | $9.55 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?No | sell | 60 | $0.060 | $3.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?No | sell | 18 | $0.640 | $11.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.780 | $9.36 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 12 | $0.810 | $9.72 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 58 | $0.170 | $9.86 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 19 | $0.520 | $9.88 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No | sell | 55 | $0.220 | $12.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.888 | $9.79 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?No | sell | 22 | $0.340 | $7.48 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.610 | $9.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?No | sell | 18 | $0.090 | $1.62 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?No | buy | 18.41 | $0.520 | $9.57 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No | buy | 55 | $0.180 | $9.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No | buy | 13 | $0.740 | $9.62 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?No | buy | 27.05 | $0.350 | $9.47 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.640 | $15.36 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?No | buy | 32.27 | $0.300 | $9.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |