Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 8.77 | $0.570 | $4.08 | -$0.92 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.978 | $19.18 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.220 |
| $2.39 |
| -$2.61 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $2.23 | -$2.77 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $2.18 | -$2.82 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.38 | $0.358 | $1.26 | -$1.74 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $0.39 | -$1.61 |
| buy |
| 19.61 |
| $0.510 |
| $10 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.370 | $23.13 | May 13, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.353 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.091 | $3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.358 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.69 | $0.022 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.34 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.830 | $30.73 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.050 | $3.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Jan 10, 2026 |